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General Election Polling Discussion Thread (September 2nd, 2020)
Introduction
Welcome to the /politics polling discussion thread for the general election. As the election nears, polling of both the national presidential popular vote and important swing states is ramping up, and with both parties effectively deciding on nominees, pollsters can get in the field to start assessing the state of the presidential race. Please use this thread to discuss polling and the general state of the presidential or congressional election. Below, you'll find some of the most recent polls, but this is by no means exhaustive, as well as some links to prognosticators sharing election models. As always though, polls don't vote, people do. Regardless of whether your candidate is doing well or poorly, democracy only works when people vote, and there are always at least a couple polling misses every cycle, some of which are pretty high profile. If you haven't yet done so, please take some time to register to vote or check your registration status.
Polls
Below is a collection of recent polling of the US Presidential election. This is likely incomplete and also omits the generic congressional ballot as well as Senate/House/Gubernatorial numbers that may accompany these polls. Please use the discussion space below to discuss any additional polls not covered. Additionally, not all polls are created equal. If this is your first time looking at polls, the FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings page is a helpful tool to assess historic partisan lean in certain pollsters, as well as their past performance. With the conclusion of both major parties’ nominating conventions, pollsters scrambled into the field to conduct polls of swing states and the national race. The result has been a slew of high quality pollsters releasing their numbers on Wednesday as well as today, which paint a picture of the electorate right after the candidates are expected to have received a temporary convention bounce.
Prognosticators are folks who make projected electoral maps, often on the strength of educated guesses as well as inside information in some cases from campaigns sharing internals with the teams involved. Below are a few of these prognosticators and their assessment of the state of the race:
Cook Political Reports - Charlie Cook's race ratings are well regarded in the political field, and he's been in the business for a while. Cook is known to incorporate both public and nonpublic (ie. internal polling) information in his projections. Also covers (and is perhaps better known for) Senate and House races.
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball - Larry Sabato has also been in the political prediction business for a while now, and the team at the UVA Center for Politics has been fairly successful in past cycles. Towards the end of the election cycle, Sabato has a policy of making a call in each state, refusing to leave any race in the tossup category. Also covers Senate and House races.
Inside Elections - Inside Elections, run by Nathan Gonzales, is the successor to Stu Rothenberg's Rothenberg Political Reports, which used to be a part of Roll Call. This prognosticator did fairly well in 2018, though Rothenberg himself boldly (along with some other pundits) predicted in 2016 that Donald Trump's path to the presidency was nonexistent. Also covers Senate, House and Gubernatorial races.
Daily Kos Elections - Daily Kos Elections is the direct successor to the Swing State Project website, which merged with Daily Kos in 2010. Despite the liberal lean of the site as a whole, the Daily Kos Elections predictions tend to be fairly even-handed, if not even slightly bearish for Democrats. Presidential numbers aren't up yet but they have Senate, House and Gubernatorial races.
RRH Elections - Red Racing Horses Elections is a site founded by former conservative-leaning members of the Swing State Project community. Despite the conservative nature of the commentary, like DKE, the race predictions tend to be fairly neutral, if slightly bearish for Republicans. Like the Crystal Ball, RRH will call all races before the election so that none are left in the tossup category. The presidential rankings have not been published but they do cover Senate, House, Gubernatorial and Row Officer (statewide elected officials, such as state Attorney General, Secretary of State etc.) races.
Polling models are similar to prognosticators (and often the model authors will act like pundits as well), but tend to be about making "educated guesses" on the state of the election. Generally, the models are structured to take in data such as polls and electoral fundamentals, and make a guess based on research on prior elections as to the state of the race in each state. Below are a few of the more prominent models that are online or expected to be online soon:
FiveThirtyEight - 538's runs 40,000 simulations of the election and uses that data to come up with a projected winner out of 100 sampled outcomes. It also breaks down the projection to show potential electoral college results, popular vote share, tipping point state likelihood, and it can even be broken down into state-level analytics.
Princeton Election Consortium - this is the model run by Dr. Sam Wang, a neuroscience professor at Princeton University. This model has run in the past two cycles as well, though Sam Wang famously said he'd eat a bug if Donald Trump won the election because his model predicted no path to victory for the eventual winner of the 2016 election. Also includes projections for Senate and House.
JHK Forecasts - the earliest model on the scene this cycle. Jack Kersting's model is one of the newer ones this year and also includes projections for Senate and House.
The Economist - this is the model run by G. Elliott Morris, who previously had a midterm election model under The Crosstab.
Niskanen Center - Rachel Bitecofer's projection, which only seems to update a couple times a cycle. Part of this has to do with Bitecofer's central argument that there are generally no swing voters, and electoral fundamentals drive the outcome of the election. This was put to the test in the 2018 midterms, where Bitecofer very early on predicted a Democratic pickup of 40-45 seats in the House, which fell about where the election ended up.
Lean Tossup - a foreign model from Canada. This model did relatively well in the 2019 Canadian election, but this appears to be the first time they've tried forecasting the US Presidential election. Also includes Senate and House projections.
Primary Model - Helmut Norpoth's model does not actually change with inputs anymore. The outcome it predicts, stated as a 91% chance for President Trump to win reelection, is premised entirely on the primary vote totals in the New Hampshire and South Carolina primaries from earlier this year. Despite being a bit of an outlier against other models, this one was among the only to forecast that then-candidate Donald Trump was a favorite to win election in 2016, and has been applied to correctly predict the winner of 5 of the past 6 presidential elections.
Prediction Markets
Prediction markets are betting markets where people put money on the line to estimate the likelihood of one party winning a seat or state. Most of these markets will also tend to move depending on polling and other socioeconomic factors in the same way that prognosticators and models will work. Predictit and Election Betting Odds are prominent in this space, although RealClearPolitics has an aggregate of other betting sites as well.
New campaign ad with a Tesla...Great!!! 8% in a National Poll...Great!!! WE ARE GOING TO MISS THE PHONEBANKING GOAL...NOT GREAT!!! INDIANA BALLOT STILL AT RISK...NOT GREAT!!! What can I do to help???! T-10 Days until Iowa. We need everyone seeing this post to GET INVOLVED and help Andrew Yang WIN!
Donating $1M in 72 hours that didn't even include a pay day was outstanding and shows that the Yang Gang continues to grow. The new ad that uses a self-parking Tesla Model X to hammer home the point of how close automation is was freaking BRILLIANT. Watch it here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qC1veCZXzx8&feature=youtu.be It's pay-day Yang Gang. If you thought that add was AMAZING, donate right now so we can start running this in NH, SC, NV, and even Super Tuesday states. Now for the bad news... Yesterday was an improvement in phonebanking with almost 110K dials! But we needed double that. The goal for phonebanking is still 461K calls short with only one day to go. We are not going to make this goal unless everyone reading this post who has been afraid to phonebank makes that leap and puts time in TODAY! If 4.8% of of this sub's subscribers spent 60 minutes on the dialer today the 800K dials phone banking goal would be met. If you need some encourangement to make that first ever phone call for Yang, read this: https://www.reddit.com/YangForPresidentHQ/comments/et24pu/been_lurking_for_months_finally_made_10_calls/ And while the donation meter says we made it, we really haven't. The campaign isn't over after Iowa. In fact, that's the point it kicks into overdrive. We are already scouting office sites in Super Tuesday states. That means lease agreements, supplies, furniture, staffing, logistics, etc across 15 states!! We need the money to keep flowing in. We understand not everyone can help. Some of our hard core members are shivering outside of Iowa and New Hampshire doors, we understand...those days are long...thank you for your time! Some of us have maxed out and/or tapped out our bank accounts, we understand...I am maxed and now trying to figure out how to beg random strangers to part with their own hard earned money...thank you for all of those donations! Some of us are working two jobs and/or just can't get on the phones during the main hours, we understand...not everyone has convenient lives or schedules...thank you for every little bit you do at 2am. If you are reading this and not in any of those three buckets, I am asking (even begging), find some way to squeeze another $5 out of your life this week, find 30 minutes to make the leap and log some phone calls, do anything you can to make use of the resources listed below to help Andrew Yang move this country FORWARD!! URGENT - If you live in or anywhere near Indiana, please visit https://www.yangsites.com/in/ to see what you can do to help with signatures. We need to get every district above the solid line in 5 days to make sure we cover the margin of signatures that will get thrown out on technical reasons. Looks like the campaign is also directly engaging with Scott Sanchez asking for volunteers: https://twitter.com/scottsanchez/status/1220018092287430657 I was in Iowa for Yang Week Month and it was AWESOME!! I can tell you at least in Poweshiek County, this election is completely UNDECIDED. Out of an entire week of talking to local voters I only ran into two who had firmly made up their mind. One for Klobuchar, and one for Yang!!!!. Multiple people told us the fact that we were there was impressive and reflected well on the campaign. Some folks even told us we were the first people ever, in any election, to come out to their farm. If you can make it to Iowa, even for a few days, please go. If not, we need everyone on the dialers. It is easy!!! You don't have to convince people to vote for Yang. We just need to identify Yang Gang and Yang Curious and the folks on the ground will do the rest. Please add additional ideas and resources that I have missed in the comments. I will keep posting updated versions of this until Super Tuesday. KEY DATES:
All of January - Yang Month (See below)
[NEW] Jan 26th - NYC Fundraiser - Tickets still available at this link
Feb 3rd - Iowa Caucuses - Current RCP IA Average 3.7% - PHONE BANK!! Make sure Iowa voters continue to hear Andrew Yang's name. When asked why he wasn't on the stage last week, point out that he is actually polling above Klobuchar and Steyer nationally and also has more donors, then confidently say he will be on the next one after a top 5 finish in Iowa.
Feb 3rd - California Vote-By-Mail Begins - Current RCP CA Average 4.3%
Feb 6th - Debate Qualification cutoff - At least 1 Iowa Delegate OR QTY 4 5% polls OR QTY 2 7% early state polls
Feb 7th - Debate #8 in Manchester, NH
Feb 11th - New Hampshire Primary - Current RCP NH Average 4.4%
Feb 19th - Debate #9 in Las Vegas, NV
Feb 22nd - Nevada Caucuses - Current RCP NV Average 3%
Feb 25th - Debate #10 in Charleston, SC
Feb 29th - South Carolina Dem Primary - Current RCP SC Average 2.7%
Mar 3rd - Super Tuesday - States (RCP Ave): AL, American Samoa, AR, CA (4.3%), CO (4% in Aug), Dems Abroad, ME (2.5% in Oct), MA (1% in Oct), MN, NC (3%), OK (0% in Jul), TN, TX (2.7% in Dec), UT, VT, VA (1% in Jun) - Current RCP National Average 4% (+0.7)
Jul 13 - 2020 Democratic National Convention begins in Milwaukee, WI
DONATE: Andrew needs at least 1 Iowa delegate out of the caucuses or 4 national or early state polls at 5% or two early state polls at 7% along with 225K+ donors. We are OK on the donor count, but only have 1 qualifying national poll. You can track status of Andrew and all other candidates here. One of the easiest ways to help the campaign spread its message is to donate. Even $1 helps pay for the creation of a dozen brochures. The bus tour, TV ads, all the offices we have seen open, and the campaign's growing operation cost money. Remember that merchandise counts toward the goal and towards your donation limits. If you are able, please click here to donate. ACT: Find your local Yang Gang and get involved IRL! This is the most important thing you can do. I'm an introvert, so going out to meet with new people is my least favorite activity. But an important tool in life is recognizing you have full control of yourself. DECIDE to push past the fear for just one Yang and Hang and poof, now these are people you know who will be more than happy to be your sidekick as you do more daring things like canvassing or phone banking.
Yang Month - What was Yang Week is now Yang Month. Generous donors are making it possible to fund plane tickets and hotels for those who want to be in Iowa. If you have the time, please go. If not, please donate to help those who can go. Volunteers also receive fantastic training on how to canvas which will maximize those face to face conversations.
All Hands on Deck in Iowa - The campaign is inviting anyone who can to travel to Iowa and help with face to face canvassing for the full month of January
[PRIORITY!!!]Phone Banking - This is the new priority for those who can't be in Iowa and many text bankers are being redirected this way
Text banking is in full force and can always use more volunteers. The resources provided during text banking training are fantastic ways to prepare for IRL conversations with friends and family and eventually canvassing. For signing up to textbank, go here: http://text.helpyangwin.com and also reference the Textbanking Megathread to get started! If you want to see someone setting the bar for IRL face to face canvassing, follow Aarika Samone on twitter and now youtube. Her enthusiasm for everything Yang is motivating! Get outside of this subreddit and engage (but don't brigade). Every few days I go to politics and search for Yang and try to at least get some positive upvoting in. When I have more time I will engage in the comments as well.
Always remember Humanity First
Don't try to win over people who are aggressively mocking Andrew or even worse, crossing the line into racism. Don't feed the trolls. Downvote if you can (reddit) or just ignore (Twitter) and move on.
Look for people raising legitimate concerns like "how is he going to pay for that?" or "I don't think he can win" and engage from resources below. Don't downvote a comment just because you disagree with it.
Upvote positive, well thought out, and humanity first comments and reply with agreements
Most online comment sections display comments in order of level of engagement. Arguing with a troll will just push that conversation to the top of the list. In hostile forums like politics or Facebook's Fox News feed we don't want good healthy dialog drowned out by people who are intentionally trying to be negative.
Don't go full Yang Gang out of the gate otherwise it looks like we are brigading even when we aren't. Let the conversation naturally flow. Only send them to this sub or to yang2020.com if it is obvious that they are curious or if it natural to say "you can find a better explanation here..."
Remember, people LIKE to be right. They DON'T LIKE being wrong. Don't respond directly with "You're wrong, here are 7 links that prove it". Instead, engage them and let them make their argument further. The longer they feel involved in a positive conversation where they are making their point, the more likely they will be to listen to your counterpoint later when you get to say, "that's odd, I had read it was actually 'X' at this site...I wonder why the data doesn't match". The goal is to plant the seeds that allow them to get curious and convince themselves.
Quick resources:
yanglinks.com - good place to find videos and explanations of Yang's policies
canandrewyangwin.com - Anecdotal stories of past campaigns that reinforce the idea that Andrew definitely has a chance of winning the nomination
jobs.lever.co/yang2020 - Want to work for Andrew? 34 current open positions on the campaign including Deputy Press Secretary
6 days remaining to play the Samantha Bee "Totally Unrigged Primary" app! As of this posting, Yang is in first place with 10,389,561 (+138K) points followed by Warren at 10,070,847 (+190K). That ~319K lead has been a good recovery, but Warren has 21,316 (+161) players to our 18,364 (+69) so we need to be diligent to hold the lead and preferably grow our team. Why should I waste my time earning worthless internet points? Every single player not only sees us holding the lead, but also gets weekly emails highlighting our lead. Name recognition is key and this is 60 seconds of your day once you are caught up that you can knock out while waiting in line for lunch.
INDIANA BALLOT STILL AT RISK...SIGNATURES DUE NOON TODAY!!! What can I do to help???! T-6 Days until Iowa. We need everyone seeing this post to GET INVOLVED and help Andrew Yang WIN!
The new campaign ad that uses a self-parking Tesla Model X to hammer home the point of how close automation is was freaking BRILLIANT. Watch it here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qC1veCZXzx8&feature=youtu.be We have a new end of month goal and if you thought that add was AMAZING, donate right now so we can start running this in NH, SC, NV, and even Super Tuesday states. The rumors of the phonebanking system being saturated with volunteers is true, so THANK YOU! We need volunteers to join the calling support team to help balance the load. From the Campaign Support Slack:
Our phone banking team has been growing at an incredible rate these last few days!Listen up:The Calling Support team needs help assisting and motivating new callersYou probably want "Calling Support" to display in your slack handleLet's make a deal:Follow the steps in this self on-boarding guide: http://bit.ly/y2020CallingSupportOnBoardPing me when you're done.
This is critical since phone banking is not even close to being over. Calls still matter. There is now a new strategy emphasis on getting Trump voters to caucus for Yang in order to move the Democratic party in a better direction. Also, we are starting to call New Hampshire voters as well. If you need some encourangement to make that first ever phone call for Yang, read this: https://www.reddit.com/YangForPresidentHQ/comments/et24pu/been_lurking_for_months_finally_made_10_calls/ URGENT - If you live in or anywhere near Indiana, please visit https://www.yangsites.com/in/ to see what you can do to help with signatures. Please add additional ideas and resources that I have missed in the comments. I will keep posting updated versions of this until Super Tuesday. KEY DATES:
Feb 3rd - Iowa Caucuses - Current RCP IA Average 3% - PHONE BANK!! Make sure Iowa voters continue to hear Andrew Yang's name. When asked why he wasn't on the stage, point out that he is actually polling above Klobuchar and Steyer nationally and also has more donors, then confidently say he will be on the next one after a top 5 finish in Iowa. Also, try to convince Trump voters that caucusing for Yang can help shift the policies of the Democratic party.
Feb 3rd - California Vote-By-Mail Begins - Current RCP CA Average 4.3%
Feb 7th - Debate #8 in Manchester, NH
Feb 11th - New Hampshire Primary - Current RCP NH Average 4.7% (-0.7)
Feb 19th - Debate #9 in Las Vegas, NV
Feb 22nd - Nevada Caucuses - Current RCP NV Average 3%
Feb 25th - Debate #10 in Charleston, SC
Feb 29th - South Carolina Dem Primary - Current RCP SC Average 2.7%
Mar 3rd - Super Tuesday - States (RCP Ave): AL, American Samoa, AR, CA (4.3%), CO (4% in Aug), Dems Abroad, ME (2.5% in Oct), MA (1% in Oct), MN, NC (3%), OK (0% in Jul), TN, TX (2.7% in Dec), UT (5% NEW), VT, VA (1% in Jun) - Current RCP National Average 4.7% (+0.4)
Jul 13 - 2020 Democratic National Convention begins in Milwaukee, WI
DONATE: Andrew is qualified for the Feb 8th debate!!!. You can track status of Andrew and all other candidates here. One of the easiest ways to help the campaign spread its message is to donate. Even $1 helps pay for the creation of a dozen brochures. The bus tour, TV ads, all the offices we have seen open, and the campaign's growing operation cost money. The campaign isn't over after Iowa. In fact, that's the point it kicks into overdrive. We are already scouting office sites in Super Tuesday states. That means lease agreements, supplies, furniture, staffing, logistics, etc across 15 states!! We need the money to keep flowing in. As of this posting we have raised $522K towards the Jan 31st $3M goal. Remember that merchandise counts toward the goal and towards your donation limits. If you are able, please click here to donate.
1,207,772 (+2,985) Twitter followers could donate $2.06 right now and hit the goal
103,848 (+117) subreddit members could donate $23.87 right now and hit the goal
ACT: Find your local Yang Gang and get involved IRL! This is the most important thing you can do. I'm an introvert, so going out to meet with new people is my least favorite activity. But an important tool in life is recognizing you have full control of yourself. DECIDE to push past the fear for just one Yang and Hang and poof, now these are people you know who will be more than happy to be your sidekick as you do more daring things like canvassing or phone banking.
Yang Month - What was Yang Week is now Yang Month. Generous donors are making it possible to fund plane tickets and hotels for those who want to be in Iowa. If you have the time, please go. If not, please donate to help those who can go. Volunteers also receive fantastic training on how to canvas which will maximize those face to face conversations.
All Hands on Deck in Iowa - The campaign is inviting anyone who can to travel to Iowa and help with face to face canvassing for the full month of January
[PRIORITY!!!]Phone Banking - This is the new priority for those who can't be in Iowa and many text bankers are being redirected this way
Text banking is in full force and can always use more volunteers. The resources provided during text banking training are fantastic ways to prepare for IRL conversations with friends and family and eventually canvassing. For signing up to textbank, go here: http://text.helpyangwin.com and also reference the Textbanking Megathread to get started! If you want to see someone setting the bar for IRL face to face canvassing, follow Aarika Samone on twitter and now youtube. Her enthusiasm for everything Yang is motivating! Get outside of this subreddit and engage (but don't brigade). Every few days I go to politics and search for Yang and try to at least get some positive upvoting in. When I have more time I will engage in the comments as well.
Always remember Humanity First
Don't try to win over people who are aggressively mocking Andrew or even worse, crossing the line into racism. Don't feed the trolls. Downvote if you can (reddit) or just ignore (Twitter) and move on.
Look for people raising legitimate concerns like "how is he going to pay for that?" or "I don't think he can win" and engage from resources below. Don't downvote a comment just because you disagree with it.
Upvote positive, well thought out, and humanity first comments and reply with agreements
Most online comment sections display comments in order of level of engagement. Arguing with a troll will just push that conversation to the top of the list. In hostile forums like politics or Facebook's Fox News feed we don't want good healthy dialog drowned out by people who are intentionally trying to be negative.
Don't go full Yang Gang out of the gate otherwise it looks like we are brigading even when we aren't. Let the conversation naturally flow. Only send them to this sub or to yang2020.com if it is obvious that they are curious or if it natural to say "you can find a better explanation here..."
Remember, people LIKE to be right. They DON'T LIKE being wrong. Don't respond directly with "You're wrong, here are 7 links that prove it". Instead, engage them and let them make their argument further. The longer they feel involved in a positive conversation where they are making their point, the more likely they will be to listen to your counterpoint later when you get to say, "that's odd, I had read it was actually 'X' at this site...I wonder why the data doesn't match". The goal is to plant the seeds that allow them to get curious and convince themselves.
Quick resources:
yanglinks.com - good place to find videos and explanations of Yang's policies
canandrewyangwin.com - Anecdotal stories of past campaigns that reinforce the idea that Andrew definitely has a chance of winning the nomination
jobs.lever.co/yang2020 - Want to work for Andrew? 32 current open positions on the campaign including Deputy Press Secretary
2 days remaining to play the Samantha Bee "Totally Unrigged Primary" app! As of this posting, Yang is in first place with 11,600,921 (+378K) points followed by Warren at 10,958,580 (+289K). That ~642K lead is starting to look unbeatable, but Warren has 21,929 (+87) players to our 19,300 (+239) so we need to be diligent to hold the lead and preferably grow our team. Why should I waste my time earning worthless internet points? Every single player not only sees us holding the lead, but also gets weekly emails highlighting our lead. Name recognition is key and this is 60 seconds of your day once you are caught up that you can knock out while waiting in line for lunch.
INDIANA BALLOT STILL AT RISK...ONLY 1 DAY LEFT!!! What can I do to help???! T-7 Days until Iowa. We need everyone seeing this post to GET INVOLVED and help Andrew Yang WIN!
The new campaign ad that uses a self-parking Tesla Model X to hammer home the point of how close automation is was freaking BRILLIANT. Watch it here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qC1veCZXzx8&feature=youtu.be We have a new end of month goal and if you thought that add was AMAZING, donate right now so we can start running this in NH, SC, NV, and even Super Tuesday states. The rumors of the phonebanking system being saturated with volunteers is true, so THANK YOU! We need volunteers to join the calling support team to help balance the load. From the Campaign Support Slack:
Our phone banking team has been growing at an incredible rate these last few days!Listen up: The Calling Support team needs help assisting and motivating new callers You probably want "Calling Support" to display in your slack handle Let's make a deal: Follow the steps in this self on-boarding guide: http://bit.ly/y2020CallingSupportOnBoard Ping me when you're done.
This is critical since phone banking is not even close to being over. Calls still matter. There is now a new strategy emphasis on getting Trump voters to caucus for Yang in order to move the Democratic party in a better direction. Also, we are starting to call New Hampshire voters as well. If you need some encourangement to make that first ever phone call for Yang, read this: https://www.reddit.com/YangForPresidentHQ/comments/et24pu/been_lurking_for_months_finally_made_10_calls/ URGENT - If you live in or anywhere near Indiana, please visit https://www.yangsites.com/in/ to see what you can do to help with signatures. We need to get every district above the solid line in 5 days to make sure we cover the margin of signatures that will get thrown out on technical reasons. From the volunteer slack:
WE HAVE A HUGE BALLOT OPPORTUNITY IN INDIANA. As of Friday the ONLY candidate who has made the ballot is Trump. We need YOU in Indiana Sunday and Monday.WE COULD BE THE ONLY DEM ON THE BALLOT.***(THE OOOONNNNLLLLLYYYYY DEM ON THE BALLOT)***There are only 3 districts where we need to collect District 4 - Lafayette (fly into Champaign) District 1 - Gary (Chicago) District 8 - Evansville (Louisville KY) This is the news story that solidifies our path to victory!!We have already sent in LOADS of staff. We need the Yang Gang!
Please add additional ideas and resources that I have missed in the comments. I will keep posting updated versions of this until Super Tuesday. KEY DATES:
Feb 3rd - Iowa Caucuses - Current RCP IA Average 3% (-0.5) - PHONE BANK!! Make sure Iowa voters continue to hear Andrew Yang's name. When asked why he wasn't on the stage, point out that he is actually polling above Klobuchar and Steyer nationally and also has more donors, then confidently say he will be on the next one after a top 5 finish in Iowa. Also, try to convince Trump voters that caucusing for Yang can help shift the policies of the Democratic party.
Feb 3rd - California Vote-By-Mail Begins - Current RCP CA Average 4.3%
Feb 7th - Debate #8 in Manchester, NH
Feb 11th - New Hampshire Primary - Current RCP NH Average 5.4% (+0.8)
Feb 19th - Debate #9 in Las Vegas, NV
Feb 22nd - Nevada Caucuses - Current RCP NV Average 3%
Feb 25th - Debate #10 in Charleston, SC
Feb 29th - South Carolina Dem Primary - Current RCP SC Average 2.7%
Mar 3rd - Super Tuesday - States (RCP Ave): AL, American Samoa, AR, CA (4.3%), CO (4% in Aug), Dems Abroad, ME (2.5% in Oct), MA (1% in Oct), MN, NC (3%), OK (0% in Jul), TN, TX (2.7% in Dec), UT, VT, VA (1% in Jun) - Current RCP National Average 4.7% (+0.4)
Jul 13 - 2020 Democratic National Convention begins in Milwaukee, WI
DONATE: Andrew is qualified for the Feb 8th debate!!!. You can track status of Andrew and all other candidates here. One of the easiest ways to help the campaign spread its message is to donate. Even $1 helps pay for the creation of a dozen brochures. The bus tour, TV ads, all the offices we have seen open, and the campaign's growing operation cost money. The campaign isn't over after Iowa. In fact, that's the point it kicks into overdrive. We are already scouting office sites in Super Tuesday states. That means lease agreements, supplies, furniture, staffing, logistics, etc across 15 states!! We need the money to keep flowing in. As of this posting we have raised $355K towards the Jan 31st $3M goal. Remember that merchandise counts toward the goal and towards your donation limits. If you are able, please click here to donate.
1,204,789 (+1,669) Twitter followers could donate $2.20 right now and hit the goal
103,731 (+411) subreddit members could donate $25.50 right now and hit the goal
ACT: Find your local Yang Gang and get involved IRL! This is the most important thing you can do. I'm an introvert, so going out to meet with new people is my least favorite activity. But an important tool in life is recognizing you have full control of yourself. DECIDE to push past the fear for just one Yang and Hang and poof, now these are people you know who will be more than happy to be your sidekick as you do more daring things like canvassing or phone banking.
Yang Month - What was Yang Week is now Yang Month. Generous donors are making it possible to fund plane tickets and hotels for those who want to be in Iowa. If you have the time, please go. If not, please donate to help those who can go. Volunteers also receive fantastic training on how to canvas which will maximize those face to face conversations.
All Hands on Deck in Iowa - The campaign is inviting anyone who can to travel to Iowa and help with face to face canvassing for the full month of January
[PRIORITY!!!]Phone Banking - This is the new priority for those who can't be in Iowa and many text bankers are being redirected this way
Text banking is in full force and can always use more volunteers. The resources provided during text banking training are fantastic ways to prepare for IRL conversations with friends and family and eventually canvassing. For signing up to textbank, go here: http://text.helpyangwin.com and also reference the Textbanking Megathread to get started! If you want to see someone setting the bar for IRL face to face canvassing, follow Aarika Samone on twitter and now youtube. Her enthusiasm for everything Yang is motivating! Get outside of this subreddit and engage (but don't brigade). Every few days I go to politics and search for Yang and try to at least get some positive upvoting in. When I have more time I will engage in the comments as well.
Always remember Humanity First
Don't try to win over people who are aggressively mocking Andrew or even worse, crossing the line into racism. Don't feed the trolls. Downvote if you can (reddit) or just ignore (Twitter) and move on.
Look for people raising legitimate concerns like "how is he going to pay for that?" or "I don't think he can win" and engage from resources below. Don't downvote a comment just because you disagree with it.
Upvote positive, well thought out, and humanity first comments and reply with agreements
Most online comment sections display comments in order of level of engagement. Arguing with a troll will just push that conversation to the top of the list. In hostile forums like politics or Facebook's Fox News feed we don't want good healthy dialog drowned out by people who are intentionally trying to be negative.
Don't go full Yang Gang out of the gate otherwise it looks like we are brigading even when we aren't. Let the conversation naturally flow. Only send them to this sub or to yang2020.com if it is obvious that they are curious or if it natural to say "you can find a better explanation here..."
Remember, people LIKE to be right. They DON'T LIKE being wrong. Don't respond directly with "You're wrong, here are 7 links that prove it". Instead, engage them and let them make their argument further. The longer they feel involved in a positive conversation where they are making their point, the more likely they will be to listen to your counterpoint later when you get to say, "that's odd, I had read it was actually 'X' at this site...I wonder why the data doesn't match". The goal is to plant the seeds that allow them to get curious and convince themselves.
Quick resources:
yanglinks.com - good place to find videos and explanations of Yang's policies
canandrewyangwin.com - Anecdotal stories of past campaigns that reinforce the idea that Andrew definitely has a chance of winning the nomination
jobs.lever.co/yang2020 - Want to work for Andrew? 32 current open positions on the campaign including Deputy Press Secretary
3 days remaining to play the Samantha Bee "Totally Unrigged Primary" app! As of this posting, Yang is in first place with 11,222,073 (+287K) points followed by Warren at 10,669,994 (+212K). That ~552K lead is starting to look unbeatable, but Warren has 21,842 (+100) players to our 19,061 (+217) so we need to be diligent to hold the lead and preferably grow our team. Why should I waste my time earning worthless internet points? Every single player not only sees us holding the lead, but also gets weekly emails highlighting our lead. Name recognition is key and this is 60 seconds of your day once you are caught up that you can knock out while waiting in line for lunch.
Let me unpack this further and not mince words: You see, conservatives have always been responsible for the VAST majority of violence in our nation, from the treasonous confederates fighting for slavery, causing the deaths of hundreds of thousands, not to mention those whom they exploited; then you've got the 4,000+ documented lynchings per NAACP, clinic bombings, and all the hate crimes on Hispanics and Muslims and Sikhs (who look Muslim... not really). Remember the Oklahoma City bomber that killed a bunch children in a daycare with his attack, Timothy McVeigh? He was a lunatic nut-job who disagreed with law-enforcement and their crackdown on Waco and Ruby Ridge and all those lunatic soverign citizens/religious nut-jobs/"free folk". Ultra right-wing conservative extremists. Basically, he was the same sort of moron as the Bundy crew terrorists who did an armed takeover of a Federal facility in Oregon while also holding their ground against law-enforcement in Nevada (Watch this Documentary covering these terrorists). It's places like td red-hat-snowflake-zone that instigate domestic terrorism. And fun fact: For the past 16+ years, radical right-wing conservative groups have been a larger threat per the FBI than any other domestic group. Moreover, radical right-wingers have killed far more people in the U.S. since Trump's election than any foreigner or Muslim. And whaddyaknow, Stephen Paddock, the Las Vegas shooter was both a gun nut and of the exact same breed as Bundy and McVeigh:
Another woman recalled overhearing a man that looked like Paddock talking to another man at a restaurant in las Vegas days before the massacre. She told police that Paddock was ranting about two separate events that took place in the 1990s. One was the standoff at Ruby Ridge, Idaho, in 1992, where a right-wing activist resisting federal weapons charges moved with his family to a remote cabin, leading to an 11-day armed standoff with authorities. The other was the 51-day standoff in Waco, Texas, between a Christian cult and police, which led to the deaths of more than 80 people, including 22 children.
and
One man told the FBI and police that less than one month before the massacre, Paddock responded to his online ad selling schematics which showed how to transform your semi-automatic rifle to make it fire like an automatic weapon. “Somebody has to wake up the American public and get them to arm themselves,” the man recalled Paddock saying during their meeting outside a Las Vegas sporting goods store. “Sometimes sacrifices have to be made.”
Over the past decade, extremists of every stripe have killed 372 Americans. 74 percent of those killings were committed by right wing extremists. Only 2 percent of those deaths were at the hands of left wing extremists. Mayo told us: "I don’t want to give moral equivalence to the two sides because one side is fighting against white supremacy. On the Antifa side, they’ve never murdered anyone but there have been many murders done by white supremacists, so we have to be concerned about that movement."*
2018 was a particularly active year for right-wing extremist murders: Every single extremist killing - from Pittsburgh to Parkland - had a link to right-wing extremism In 2018, domestic extremists killed at least 50 people in the U.S., a sharp increase from the 37 extremist-related murders documented in 2017, though still lower than the totals for 2015 (70) and 2016 (72). The 50 deaths make 2018 the fourth-deadliest year on record for domestic extremist-related killings since 1970. Of these killings, 78% were perpetrated by white-supremacists, 16% by anti-government extremists, 4% by "incel" extremists, and 2% by domestic Islamist extremists
Literally all right-wing in nature (Yes, the 2% Islamic extremism is also right-wing). When the right-wing psycho emboldened by Trump supporters chanting with Lowes tiki-torches, "jews will not replace us" ran over peaceful protesters, killing one, what did Trump do? Muddy the waters and say it was "both sides." No. Of course, you have the MAGABomber and the Pittsburgh lunatic as just more examples of right-wing extremism recently, among countless others I cannot keep up with.
There are no US deaths associated with any action that could be accurately described as, "Anti-Fascist."*
That, however, doesn't stop right-wing extremists from posing as Antifa to make them seem more violent than they really are and to rally support to their own cause. Here's another example. Conservatives love to pretend that those tree-huggin' bleedin'-heart peace-lovin' anti-gun hippies are somehow deranged murderers!! Whoops. Are they snowflakes, or they are they literally Hitler...? So when they point to cases of liberal violence, sometimes they're right, but as always they play the game of false-equivalence (I literally had two separate Trump supporters equating leftists protesting by blocking highways and boycotting restaurants supportive of Trump to the murders of the right). If they want to play the game of who can list the most tragedies, the statistics outright prove I'll win in showing conservatives are more violent in America. Meanwhile, you have 45% of Americans somehow approving of this President, 23% of Republicans who wouldn't prosecute Trump if he shot James Comey in cold blood (page 47)—then you have 43% of Republicans as of 2015 who are still so incredibly ignorant that they believe Obama is a Muslim, 51% of Republicans as of 2017 who still think Obama is Kenyan-born. If you cannot connect the dots between the blatant ignorance and hatred revealed by these studies, and the increased tick in violence at this point today—then you're frankly not paying attention. When it comes down to it, that really is the problem: people aren't paying attention. People aren't calling out ignorance when they see it, and letting it slide and being "polite" and holding your tongue leaves these people into delusions that they have it all figured out. Meanwhile Fox News, Right-Wing Radio, the Bannon/Jones-types of the internet and so forth feed this uninformed audience what they want to hear; they're gullible and easily manipulated into believing whatever is needed in the moment for political expediency. Why do these talking-heads manipulate your crazy Uncle, your conspiracy-loving teenage neighbor, your dad on long trips? Like most corrupt things, it's about money & power. They're profiting off ignorance and fear. It's a scary tragic reality. This all should all lead to a big question: Why does the Conservative Ideology inherently attract or create more violence? We should all be wondering that, but some of my thoughts on this can be read here. UPDATE: * Note: While the facts are still be uncovered, a self-proclaimed Anti-Fascist shot a right-wing extremist in Portland. Assuming it wasn't self-defense as the man claimed in his interview before he was killed by police, the "politically-motivated murder count" is: Antifa: 1 Right-wing Fascists: Hundreds. (thousands if you count right-wing foreign extremists or want to go back in our history).
For all of you Sanders brigadiers coming to our sub and claiming Yang sold out....
Yang has always stated he will support the eventual democratic nominee. Take a look at the Vegas betting odds on the eventual nominee coming into today’s results, Biden has >80% coming into today. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/democratic_2020_nomination/ You can be disappointed with the results sure but the MATH doesn’t lie. Biden will be the Dem nominee.
WAKE UP YANGANG!!! WE ARE BEHIND!!! INDIANA BALLOT AT RISK!!! What can I do to help???! T-12 Days until Iowa. We need everyone seeing this post to GET INVOLVED and help Andrew Yang WIN!
It's time to break out the caffeine supplies! I'm not sure what happened over the weekend. We had some great endorsements, good media coverage, Andrew making more headlines, and then Monday hit. We have barely moved the needle in phonebanking or fundraising. If it's because our hard core members are shivering outside of Iowa doors, I understand...those days are long. If it's because you have maxed out and/or tapped out your bank account, I understand...I am maxed and now trying to figure out how to beg random strangers to part with their own hard earned money. If it's because you're working two jobs and/or just can't get on the phones during the main hours, I understand...not everyone has convenient lives or schedules. If you are reading this and not in any of those three buckets, I am asking (even begging), find some way to squeeze another $5 out of your life this week, find 30 minutes to make the leap and log some phone calls, do anything you can to make use of the resources listed below to help Andrew Yang move this country FORWARD!! URGENT - If you live in or anywhere near Indiana, please visit https://www.yangsites.com/in/ to see what you can do to help with signatures. We need to get every district above the solid line in 6 days to make sure we cover the margin of signatures that will get thrown out on technical reasons. TLDR; Tons of links to help you find ways to help. If 12.7% of of this sub's subscribers spent 30 minutes on the dialer today the 800K dials phone banking goal would be met. If 10% of Andrew Yang's twitter followers donated $6.50 right now, the $1M goal would be met. Please add additional ideas and resources that I have missed in the comments. I will keep posting updated versions of this until Super Tuesday. I was in Iowa for Yang Week Month and it was AWESOME!! I can tell you at least in Poweshiek County, this election is completely UNDECIDED. Out of an entire week of talking to local voters I only ran into two who had firmly made up their mind. One for Klobuchar, and one for Yang!!!!. Multiple people told us the fact that we were there was impressive and reflected well on the campaign. Some folks even told us we were the first people ever, in any election, to come out to their farm. If you can make it to Iowa, even for a few days, please go. If not, we need everyone on the dialers. It is easy!!! You don't have to convince people to vote for Yang. We just need to identify Yang Gang and Yang Curious and the folks on the ground will do the rest. KEY DATES:
Feb 3rd - Iowa Caucuses - Current RCP IA Average 3.7% - PHONE BANK!! Make sure Iowa voters continue to hear Andrew Yang's name. When asked why he wasn't on the stage last week, point out that he is actually polling above Klobuchar and Steyer nationally and also has more donors, then confidently say he will be on the next one after a top 5 finish in Iowa.
Feb 3rd - California Vote-By-Mail Begins - Current RCP CA Average 4.3%
Feb 6th - Debate Qualification cutoff - At least 1 Iowa Delegate OR QTY 4 5% polls OR QTY 2 7% early state polls
Feb 7th - Debate #8 in Manchester, NH
Feb 11th - New Hampshire Primary - Current RCP NH Average 4.3% (+0.6)
Feb 19th - Debate #9 in Las Vegas, NV
Feb 22nd - Nevada Caucuses - Current RCP NV Average 3%
Feb 25th - Debate #10 in Charleston, SC
Feb 29th - South Carolina Dem Primary - Current RCP SC Average 2.7%
Mar 3rd - Super Tuesday - States (RCP Ave): AL, American Samoa, AR, CA (4.3%), CO (4% in Aug), Dems Abroad, ME (2.5% in Oct), MA (1% in Oct), MN, NC (3%), OK (0% in Jul), TN, TX (2.7% in Dec), UT, VT, VA (1% in Jun) - Current RCP National Average 3.8%
Jul 13 - 2020 Democratic National Convention begins in Milwaukee, WI
DONATE: Andrew needs at least 1 Iowa delegate out of the caucuses or 4 national or early state polls at 5% or two early state polls at 7% along with 225K+ donors. We are OK on the donor count, but only have 1 qualifying national poll. You can track status of Andrew and all other candidates here. One of the easiest ways to help the campaign spread its message is to donate. Even $1 helps pay for the creation of a dozen brochures. The bus tour, TV ads, all the offices we have seen open, and the campaign's growing operation cost money. As of this posting we have raised $240K towards the Jan 22nd $1M goal. Remember that merchandise counts toward the goal and towards your donation limits. If you are able, please click here to donate.
1,192,272 (+2,530) Twitter followers could donate $0.64 right now and hit the goal
102,525 (+162) subreddit members could donate $7.42 right now and hit the goal
ACT: Find your local Yang Gang and get involved IRL! This is the most important thing you can do. I'm an introvert, so going out to meet with new people is my least favorite activity. But an important tool in life is recognizing you have full control of yourself. DECIDE to push past the fear for just one Yang and Hang and poof, now these are people you know who will be more than happy to be your sidekick as you do more daring things like canvassing or phone banking.
Yang Month - What was Yang Week is now Yang Month. Generous donors are making it possible to fund plane tickets and hotels for those who want to be in Iowa. If you have the time, please go. If not, please donate to help those who can go. Volunteers also receive fantastic training on how to canvas which will maximize those face to face conversations.
All Hands on Deck in Iowa - The campaign is inviting anyone who can to travel to Iowa and help with face to face canvassing for the full month of January
[PRIORITY!!!]Phone Banking - This is the new priority for those who can't be in Iowa and many text bankers are being redirected this way
Text banking is in full force and can always use more volunteers. The resources provided during text banking training are fantastic ways to prepare for IRL conversations with friends and family and eventually canvassing. For signing up to textbank, go here: http://text.helpyangwin.com and also reference the Textbanking Megathread to get started! If you want to see someone setting the bar for IRL face to face canvassing, follow Aarika Samone on twitter and now youtube. Her enthusiasm for everything Yang is motivating! Get outside of this subreddit and engage (but don't brigade). Every few days I go to politics and search for Yang and try to at least get some positive upvoting in. When I have more time I will engage in the comments as well.
Always remember Humanity First
Don't try to win over people who are aggressively mocking Andrew or even worse, crossing the line into racism. Don't feed the trolls. Downvote if you can (reddit) or just ignore (Twitter) and move on.
Look for people raising legitimate concerns like "how is he going to pay for that?" or "I don't think he can win" and engage from resources below. Don't downvote a comment just because you disagree with it.
Upvote positive, well thought out, and humanity first comments and reply with agreements
Most online comment sections display comments in order of level of engagement. Arguing with a troll will just push that conversation to the top of the list. In hostile forums like politics or Facebook's Fox News feed we don't want good healthy dialog drowned out by people who are intentionally trying to be negative.
Don't go full Yang Gang out of the gate otherwise it looks like we are brigading even when we aren't. Let the conversation naturally flow. Only send them to this sub or to yang2020.com if it is obvious that they are curious or if it natural to say "you can find a better explanation here..."
Remember, people LIKE to be right. They DON'T LIKE being wrong. Don't respond directly with "You're wrong, here are 7 links that prove it". Instead, engage them and let them make their argument further. The longer they feel involved in a positive conversation where they are making their point, the more likely they will be to listen to your counterpoint later when you get to say, "that's odd, I had read it was actually 'X' at this site...I wonder why the data doesn't match". The goal is to plant the seeds that allow them to get curious and convince themselves.
Quick resources:
yanglinks.com - good place to find videos and explanations of Yang's policies
canandrewyangwin.com - Anecdotal stories of past campaigns that reinforce the idea that Andrew definitely has a chance of winning the nomination
jobs.lever.co/yang2020 - Want to work for Andrew? 34 current open positions on the campaign including Deputy Press Secretary
8 days remaining to play the Samantha Bee "Totally Unrigged Primary" app! As of this posting, Yang is in first place with 10,021,960 (+130K) points followed by Warren at 9,624,514 (+94K). That ~397K lead has been a good recovery, but Warren has 21,082 (+88) players to our 18,215 (+157) so we need to be diligent to hold the lead and preferably grow our team. Why should I waste my time earning worthless internet points? Because the 6th place contender is Undecided Democrat. Every single player not only sees us holding the lead, but also gets weekly emails highlighting our lead. Name recognition is key and this is 60 seconds of your day once you are caught up that you can knock out while waiting in line for lunch.
I got to spend last Friday with Andrew and his senior campaign staff looking in depth at strategy to get to the finish line and I am AMAZED at how well thought out and data driven the plan is. I can't spill any beans due to NDA, but I now know why it is so important that everyone PHONEBANK!!!! Things that weren't under the NDA: Bradly Cooper is YangGang. Joe Biden is YangGang. Yang's VP is 99% certain to be a woman. MATHPAC is kind of cool. Happy to answer general questions below, but don't be surprised if most answers defer to being under NDA. And just in case you missed it the first 6 times...PLEASE PHONE BANK!!!
NOW OR NEVER PHONEBANKING! Without a delegate from NH, We will NOT be on the next debate stage!! What can I do to help???! T-2 Days until New Hampshire. We need everyone seeing this post to GET INVOLVED and help Andrew Yang WIN!
Yang Gang, calls matter now more than ever. People in NH are making up their minds in the next 48 hours. As we saw in Iowa, over a 3rd of voters made their final decision in the last three days. I want to give you a little perspective on what is possible. In 1992, a little known Governor from Arkansas took a swing at becoming president. The first series of early state polls were not great, but Bill Clinton and a passionate group of supporters stuck it out and made history:
Iowa Results - Bill Clinton in 4th place with 2.8%
New Hampshire Results - Bill Clinton in 2nd with 24.8%
Maine Results - Bill Clinton in 4th with 15.1%
South Dakota Results - Bill Clinton in 3rd with 19.1%
Super Tuesday - 4th in WA, 4th in ID, 3rd in UT, 2nd in CO, 2nd in MD, 1st in GA
Feb 22nd - Nevada Caucuses - Current RCP NV Average 4%
Feb 25th - Debate #10 in Charleston, SC
Feb 29th - South Carolina Dem Primary - Current RCP SC Average 3%
Mar 3rd - Super Tuesday - States (RCP Ave): AL, American Samoa, AR, CA (4%), CO (4% in Aug), Dems Abroad, ME (2.5% in Oct), MA (1% in Oct), MN, NC (3%), OK (0% in Jul), TN, TX (2%), UT (5%), VT, VA (1% in Jun) - Current RCP National Average 3.6%
Jul 13 - 2020 Democratic National Convention begins in Milwaukee, WI
DONATE: Only Biden, Sanders, and Warren have qualified for the Feb 19th debate!!!. Requirements are 4 polls above 10%, or 2 early state polls above 12%, or come out of Iowa or New Hampshire with at least 1 delegate. Buttigieg will get added to the list once the Iowa process plays out. Since it is unlikely we wwill suddenly start hitting double digits in the next 10 days, we need as many people in New Hampshire as possible. You can track status of Andrew and all other candidates here. One of the easiest ways to help the campaign spread its message is to donate. Even $1 helps pay for the creation of a dozen brochures. The bus tour, TV ads, all the offices we have seen open, and the campaign's growing operation cost money. The campaign is now in the next phase and we are already scouting office sites in Super Tuesday states. That means lease agreements, supplies, furniture, staffing, logistics, etc across 15 states!! We need the money to keep flowing in. As of this posting we have raised $353K towards the Jan 10th $2M goal. Remember that merchandise counts toward the goal and towards your donation limits. If you are able, please click here to donate.
1,249,395 (+2,130) Twitter followers could donate $1.15 right now and hit the goal
106,815 (+110) subreddit members could donate $13.38 right now and hit the goal
ACT: Find your local Yang Gang and get involved IRL! This is the most important thing you can do. I'm an introvert, so going out to meet with new people is my least favorite activity. But an important tool in life is recognizing you have full control of yourself. DECIDE to push past the fear for just one Yang and Hang and poof, now these are people you know who will be more than happy to be your sidekick as you do more daring things like canvassing or phone banking.
[PRIORITY!!!]Phone Banking - This is the new priority for those who can't be in New Hampshire and many text bankers are being redirected this way
Text banking is in full force and can always use more volunteers. The resources provided during text banking training are fantastic ways to prepare for IRL conversations with friends and family and eventually canvassing. For signing up to textbank, go here: http://text.helpyangwin.com and also reference the Textbanking Megathread to get started! If you want to see someone setting the bar for IRL face to face canvassing, follow Aarika Samone on twitter and now youtube. Her enthusiasm for everything Yang is motivating! Get outside of this subreddit and engage.
Always remember Humanity First
Don't try to win over people who are aggressively mocking Andrew or even worse, crossing the line into racism. Don't feed the trolls. Downvote if you can (reddit) or just ignore (Twitter) and move on.
Look for people raising legitimate concerns like "how is he going to pay for that?" or "I don't think he can win" and engage from resources below. Don't downvote a comment just because you disagree with it.
Upvote positive, well thought out, and humanity first comments and reply with agreements
Most online comment sections display comments in order of level of engagement. Arguing with a troll will just push that conversation to the top of the list. In hostile forums like politics or Facebook's Fox News feed we don't want good healthy dialog drowned out by people who are intentionally trying to be negative.
Don't go full Yang Gang out of the gate otherwise it looks like we are brigading even when we aren't. Let the conversation naturally flow. Only send them to this sub or to yang2020.com if it is obvious that they are curious or if it natural to say "you can find a better explanation here..."
Remember, people LIKE to be right. They DON'T LIKE being wrong. Don't respond directly with "You're wrong, here are 7 links that prove it". Instead, engage them and let them make their argument further. The longer they feel involved in a positive conversation where they are making their point, the more likely they will be to listen to your counterpoint later when you get to say, "that's odd, I had read it was actually 'X' at this site...I wonder why the data doesn't match". The goal is to plant the seeds that allow them to get curious and convince themselves.
Quick resources:
yanglinks.com - good place to find videos and explanations of Yang's policies
WE MISSED THE PHONEBANKING GOAL...BUT PLEASE KEEP CALLING!!! INDIANA BALLOT STILL AT RISK...ONLY 3 DAYS LEFT!!! What can I do to help???! T-9 Days until Iowa. We need everyone seeing this post to GET INVOLVED and help Andrew Yang WIN!
Happy Lunar New Year Donating $1M in 72 hours that didn't even include a pay day was outstanding and shows that the Yang Gang continues to grow. The new ad that uses a self-parking Tesla Model X to hammer home the point of how close automation is was freaking BRILLIANT. Watch it here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qC1veCZXzx8&feature=youtu.be Yesterday was pay-day Yang Gang. If you thought that add was AMAZING, donate right now so we can start running this in NH, SC, NV, and even Super Tuesday states. Now for the bad news... Yesterday was the final day for the goal and it is clear we missed it. The progress bar is gone. No one posted bragging about new records. However, I did hear rumors of the system being saturated with volunteers so it is clear you all stepped up, so THANK YOU! Phone banking is not over though. Calls still matter. There is now a new strategy emphasis on getting Trump voters to caucus for Yang in order to move the Democratic party in a better direction. Also, we are starting to call New Hampshire voters as well. If you need some encourangement to make that first ever phone call for Yang, read this: https://www.reddit.com/YangForPresidentHQ/comments/et24pu/been_lurking_for_months_finally_made_10_calls/ URGENT - If you live in or anywhere near Indiana, please visit https://www.yangsites.com/in/ to see what you can do to help with signatures. We need to get every district above the solid line in 5 days to make sure we cover the margin of signatures that will get thrown out on technical reasons. Looks like the campaign is also directly engaging with Scott Sanchez asking for volunteers: https://twitter.com/scottsanchez/status/1220018092287430657 Please add additional ideas and resources that I have missed in the comments. I will keep posting updated versions of this until Super Tuesday. KEY DATES:
All of January - Yang Month (See below)
[NEW] Jan 26th - NYC Fundraiser - Tickets still available at this link
Feb 3rd - Iowa Caucuses - Current RCP IA Average 3.7% - PHONE BANK!! Make sure Iowa voters continue to hear Andrew Yang's name. When asked why he wasn't on the stage, point out that he is actually polling above Klobuchar and Steyer nationally and also has more donors, then confidently say he will be on the next one after a top 5 finish in Iowa. Also, try to convince Trump voters that caucusing for Yang can help shift the policies of the Democratic party.
Feb 3rd - California Vote-By-Mail Begins - Current RCP CA Average 4.3%
Feb 6th - Debate Qualification cutoff - At least 1 Iowa Delegate OR QTY 4 5% polls OR QTY 2 7% early state polls
Feb 7th - Debate #8 in Manchester, NH
Feb 11th - New Hampshire Primary - Current RCP NH Average 4.4%
Feb 19th - Debate #9 in Las Vegas, NV
Feb 22nd - Nevada Caucuses - Current RCP NV Average 3%
Feb 25th - Debate #10 in Charleston, SC
Feb 29th - South Carolina Dem Primary - Current RCP SC Average 2.7%
Mar 3rd - Super Tuesday - States (RCP Ave): AL, American Samoa, AR, CA (4.3%), CO (4% in Aug), Dems Abroad, ME (2.5% in Oct), MA (1% in Oct), MN, NC (3%), OK (0% in Jul), TN, TX (2.7% in Dec), UT, VT, VA (1% in Jun) - Current RCP National Average 4%
Jul 13 - 2020 Democratic National Convention begins in Milwaukee, WI
DONATE: Andrew needs at least 1 Iowa delegate out of the caucuses or 4 national or early state polls at 5% or two early state polls at 7% along with 225K+ donors. We are OK on the donor count, but only has 2 qualifying national polls. You can track status of Andrew and all other candidates here. New Qualifying polls expected on Sunday and Monday. One of the easiest ways to help the campaign spread its message is to donate. Even $1 helps pay for the creation of a dozen brochures. The bus tour, TV ads, all the offices we have seen open, and the campaign's growing operation cost money. The campaign isn't over after Iowa. In fact, that's the point it kicks into overdrive. We are already scouting office sites in Super Tuesday states. That means lease agreements, supplies, furniture, staffing, logistics, etc across 15 states!! We need the money to keep flowing in. Remember that merchandise counts toward the goal and towards your donation limits. If you are able, please click here to donate. ACT: Find your local Yang Gang and get involved IRL! This is the most important thing you can do. I'm an introvert, so going out to meet with new people is my least favorite activity. But an important tool in life is recognizing you have full control of yourself. DECIDE to push past the fear for just one Yang and Hang and poof, now these are people you know who will be more than happy to be your sidekick as you do more daring things like canvassing or phone banking.
Yang Month - What was Yang Week is now Yang Month. Generous donors are making it possible to fund plane tickets and hotels for those who want to be in Iowa. If you have the time, please go. If not, please donate to help those who can go. Volunteers also receive fantastic training on how to canvas which will maximize those face to face conversations.
All Hands on Deck in Iowa - The campaign is inviting anyone who can to travel to Iowa and help with face to face canvassing for the full month of January
[PRIORITY!!!]Phone Banking - This is the new priority for those who can't be in Iowa and many text bankers are being redirected this way
Text banking is in full force and can always use more volunteers. The resources provided during text banking training are fantastic ways to prepare for IRL conversations with friends and family and eventually canvassing. For signing up to textbank, go here: http://text.helpyangwin.com and also reference the Textbanking Megathread to get started! If you want to see someone setting the bar for IRL face to face canvassing, follow Aarika Samone on twitter and now youtube. Her enthusiasm for everything Yang is motivating! Get outside of this subreddit and engage (but don't brigade). Every few days I go to politics and search for Yang and try to at least get some positive upvoting in. When I have more time I will engage in the comments as well.
Always remember Humanity First
Don't try to win over people who are aggressively mocking Andrew or even worse, crossing the line into racism. Don't feed the trolls. Downvote if you can (reddit) or just ignore (Twitter) and move on.
Look for people raising legitimate concerns like "how is he going to pay for that?" or "I don't think he can win" and engage from resources below. Don't downvote a comment just because you disagree with it.
Upvote positive, well thought out, and humanity first comments and reply with agreements
Most online comment sections display comments in order of level of engagement. Arguing with a troll will just push that conversation to the top of the list. In hostile forums like politics or Facebook's Fox News feed we don't want good healthy dialog drowned out by people who are intentionally trying to be negative.
Don't go full Yang Gang out of the gate otherwise it looks like we are brigading even when we aren't. Let the conversation naturally flow. Only send them to this sub or to yang2020.com if it is obvious that they are curious or if it natural to say "you can find a better explanation here..."
Remember, people LIKE to be right. They DON'T LIKE being wrong. Don't respond directly with "You're wrong, here are 7 links that prove it". Instead, engage them and let them make their argument further. The longer they feel involved in a positive conversation where they are making their point, the more likely they will be to listen to your counterpoint later when you get to say, "that's odd, I had read it was actually 'X' at this site...I wonder why the data doesn't match". The goal is to plant the seeds that allow them to get curious and convince themselves.
Quick resources:
yanglinks.com - good place to find videos and explanations of Yang's policies
canandrewyangwin.com - Anecdotal stories of past campaigns that reinforce the idea that Andrew definitely has a chance of winning the nomination
jobs.lever.co/yang2020 - Want to work for Andrew? 32 (-2) current open positions on the campaign including Deputy Press Secretary
5 days remaining to play the Samantha Bee "Totally Unrigged Primary" app! As of this posting, Yang is in first place with 10,689,060 (+300K) points followed by Warren at 10,283,754 (+213K). That ~402K lead has been a good recovery, but Warren has 21,613 (+297) players to our 18,706 (+342) so we need to be diligent to hold the lead and preferably grow our team. Why should I waste my time earning worthless internet points? Every single player not only sees us holding the lead, but also gets weekly emails highlighting our lead. Name recognition is key and this is 60 seconds of your day once you are caught up that you can knock out while waiting in line for lunch.
ALL HANDS ON DECK PHONE BANKING!!! What can I do to help???! T-20 Days until Iowa. We need everyone seeing this post to GET INVOLVED and help Andrew Yang WIN!
Last week I was in Iowa for Yang Week Month and it was AWESOME!! I can tell you at least in Poweshiek County, this election is completely UNDECIDED. Out of an entire week of talking to local voters I only ran into two who had firmly made up their mind. One for Klobuchar, and one for Yang!!!!. Multiple people told us the fact that we were there was impressive and reflected well on the campaign. Some folks even told us we were the first people ever, in any election, to come out to their farm. If you can make it to Iowa, even for a few days, please go. If not, we need everyone on the dialers. It is easy!!! You don't have to convince people to vote for Yang. We just need to identify Yang Gang and Yang Curious and the folks on the ground will do the rest. TLDR; Tons of links to help you find ways to help. If 5% of Andrew Yang's twitter followers donated $16 right now, the $2M goal would be met. Please add additional ideas and resources that I have missed in the comments. I will keep posting updated versions of this until Super Tuesday. 16 days remaining to play the Samantha Bee "Totally Unrigged Primary" app! As of this posting, Yang is in first place with 8,444,236 (+238K) points followed by Warren at 8,329,348 (+218K). That ~115K lead has been shrinking fast, also Warren has 20,585 (+174) players to our 17,275 (+259) so we need to be diligent to hold the lead and preferably grow our team. Why should I waste my time earning worthless internet points? Because the 6th place contender is Undecided Democrat. Every single player not only sees us holding the lead, but also gets weekly emails highlighting our lead. Name recognition is key and this is 60 seconds of your day once you are caught up that you can knock out while waiting in line for lunch.
Jan 14th - Debate #7 in Des Moines, IA - PHONE BANK!! Make sure Iowa voters answer the phone tonight and hear Andrew Yang's name. When asked why he isn't on the stage, point out that he is actually polling above Klobuchar and Steyer nationally and also has more donors, then confidently say he will be on the next one after a top 5 finish in Iowa.
Feb 3rd - Iowa Caucuses - Current RCP IA Average 3.3%
Feb 3rd - California Vote-By-Mail Begins - Current RCP CA Average 4.6%
Feb 7th - Debate #8 in Manchester, NH
Feb 11th - New Hampshire Primary - Current RCP NH Average 2.3% (-1.5)
Feb 19th - Debate #9 in Las Vegas, NV
Feb 22nd - Nevada Caucuses - Current RCP NV Average 2.7%
Feb 25th - Debate #10 in Charleston, SC
Feb 29th - South Carolina Dem Primary - Current RCP SC Average 2.7%
Mar 3rd - Super Tuesday - States (RCP Ave): AL, American Samoa, AR, CA (4.6% in Dec), CO (4% in Aug), Dems Abroad, ME (2.5% in Oct), MA (1% in Oct), MN, NC (3.2% in Nov), OK (0% in Jul), TN, TX (2.7% in Dec), UT, VT, VA (1% in Jun) - Current RCP National Average 3.8% (+0.3)
Jul 13 - 2020 Democratic National Convention begins in Milwaukee, WI
DONATE: Channeling Carly here: We are behind...donate...WAY behind...donate...sky is falling...donate...love you guys. Not too late to give Andrew a belated birthday present since I'm sure many of you just forgot (cough cough) Qualification thresholds are not yet posted for the February debate. You can track status of Andrew and all other candidates here. One of the easiest ways to help the campaign spread its message is to donate. Even $1 helps pay for the creation of a dozen brochures. The bus tour, TV ads, all the offices we have seen open, and the campaign's growing operation cost money. As of this posting we have raised $1.08M towards the Jan 14th $2M goal. Remember that merchandise counts toward the goal and towards your donation limits. I've already maxed out and have nearly a dozen shirts and have started to get the evil eye from my wife. If you are able, please click here to donate.
1,155,782 (+2,957) Twitter followers could donate $0.80 right now and hit the goal
529,482 (+1,027) Instagram followers could donate $1.74 right now and hit the goal
270,627 (+696) Facebook followers could donate $3.39 right now and hit the goal
100,545 (+233) subreddit members could donate $9.13 right now and hit the goal
Have dinner with Andrew!!! If you have never met Andrew Yang or his campaign staff and are in the San Francisco area, attending the Jan 16th San Francisco Fundraiser could be a lot of fun! ACT: Find your local Yang Gang and get involved IRL! This is the most important thing you can do. I'm an introvert, so going out to meet with new people is my least favorite activity. But an important tool in life is recognizing you have full control of yourself. DECIDE to push past the fear for just one Yang and Hang and poof, now these are people you know who will be more than happy to be your sidekick as you do more daring things like canvassing or phone banking.
Yang Month - What was Yang Week is now Yang Month. Generous donors are making it possible to fund plane tickets and hotels for those who want to be in Iowa. If you have the time, please go. If not, please donate to help those who can go. Volunteers also receive fantastic training on how to canvas which will maximize those face to face conversations.
All Hands on Deck in Iowa - The campaign is inviting anyone who can to travel to Iowa and help with face to face canvassing for the full month of January
[PRIORITY!!!]Phone Banking - This is the new priority for those who can't be in Iowa and many text bankers are being redirected this way
Text banking is in full force and can always use more volunteers. The resources provided during text banking training are fantastic ways to prepare for IRL conversations with friends and family and eventually canvassing. For signing up to textbank, go here: http://text.helpyangwin.com and also reference the Textbanking Megathread to get started! If you want to see someone setting the bar for IRL face to face canvassing, follow Aarika Samone on twitter and now youtube. Her enthusiasm for everything Yang is motivating! Get outside of this subreddit and engage (but don't brigade). Every few days I go to politics and search for Yang and try to at least get some positive upvoting in. When I have more time I will engage in the comments as well.
Always remember Humanity First
Don't try to win over people who are aggressively mocking Andrew or even worse, crossing the line into racism. Don't feed the trolls. Downvote if you can (reddit) or just ignore (Twitter) and move on.
Look for people raising legitimate concerns like "how is he going to pay for that?" or "I don't think he can win" and engage from resources below. Don't downvote a comment just because you disagree with it.
Upvote positive, well thought out, and humanity first comments and reply with agreements
Most online comment sections display comments in order of level of engagement. Arguing with a troll will just push that conversation to the top of the list. In hostile forums like politics or Facebook's Fox News feed we don't want good healthy dialog drowned out by people who are intentionally trying to be negative.
Don't go full Yang Gang out of the gate otherwise it looks like we are brigading even when we aren't. Let the conversation naturally flow. Only send them to this sub or to yang2020.com if it is obvious that they are curious or if it natural to say "you can find a better explanation here..."
Remember, people LIKE to be right. They DON'T LIKE being wrong. Don't respond directly with "You're wrong, here are 7 links that prove it". Instead, engage them and let them make their argument further. The longer they feel involved in a positive conversation where they are making their point, the more likely they will be to listen to your counterpoint later when you get to say, "that's odd, I had read it was actually 'X' at this site...I wonder why the data doesn't match". The goal is to plant the seeds that allow them to get curious and convince themselves.
Quick resources:
yanglinks.com - good place to find videos and explanations of Yang's policies
HAPPY BIRTHDAY ANDREW YANG!!! What can I do to help???! T-21 Days until Iowa. We need everyone seeing this post to GET INVOLVED and help Andrew Yang WIN!
Sorry I missed this the last five days. I was in Iowa for Yang Week Month and it was AWESOME!! I can tell you at least in Poweshiek County, this election is completely UNDECIDED. Out of an entire week of talking to local voters I only ran into two who had firmly made up their mind. One for Klobuchar, and one for Yang!!!!. Multiple people told us the fact that we were there was impressive and reflected well on the campaign. Some folks even told us we were the first people ever, in any election, to come out to their farm. If you can make it to Iowa, even for a few days, please go. TLDR; Tons of links to help you find ways to help. If 10% of Andrew Yang's twitter followers donated $12 right now, the $3.5M goal would be met. Please add additional ideas and resources that I have missed in the comments. I will keep posting updated versions of this until Super Tuesday. 17 days remaining to play the Samantha Bee "Totally Unrigged Primary" app! As of this posting, Yang is in first place with 8,206,401 (+504K) points followed by Warren at 8,110,973 (+672K). That ~94K lead is shrinking fast again, also Warren has 20,411 (+564) players to our 17,016 (+300) so we need to be diligent to hold the lead and preferably grow our team. Why should I waste my time earning worthless internet points? Because the 6th place contender is Undecided Democrat. Every single player not only sees us holding the lead, but also gets weekly emails highlighting our lead. Name recognition is key and this is 60 seconds of your day once you are caught up that you can knock out while waiting in line for lunch.
Feb 3rd - Iowa Caucuses - Current RCP IA Average 3.3% (+1)
Feb 3rd - California Vote-By-Mail Begins - Current RCP CA Average 4.6%
Feb 7th - Debate #8 in Manchester, NH
Feb 11th - New Hampshire Primary - Current RCP NH Average 3.8% (-0.2)
Feb 19th - Debate #9 in Las Vegas, NV
Feb 22nd - Nevada Caucuses - Current RCP NV Average 2.7% (-0.3)
Feb 25th - Debate #10 in Charleston, SC
Feb 29th - South Carolina Dem Primary - Current RCP SC Average 2.7% (+0.7)
Mar 3rd - Super Tuesday - States (RCP Ave): AL, American Samoa, AR, CA (4.6% in Dec), CO (4% in Aug), Dems Abroad, ME (2.5% in Oct), MA (1% in Oct), MN, NC (3.2% in Nov), OK (0% in Jul), TN, TX (2.7% in Dec), UT, VT, VA (1% in Jun) - Current RCP National Average 3.5%
Jul 13 - 2020 Democratic National Convention begins in Milwaukee, WI
DONATE: Qualification thresholds are not yet posted for the February debate. You can track status of Andrew and all other candidates here. One of the easiest ways to help the campaign spread its message is to donate. Even $1 helps pay for the creation of a dozen brochures. The bus tour, TV ads, all the offices we have seen open, and the campaign's growing operation cost money. As of this posting we have raised $667K towards the Jan 14th $2M goal. Remember that merchandise counts toward the goal and towards your donation limits. I've already maxed out and have nearly a dozen shirts and have started to get the evil eye from my wife. If you are able, please click here to donate.
1,152,825 Twitter followers could donate $1.16 right now and hit the goal
528,355 Instagram followers could donate $2.53 right now and hit the goal
269,931 Facebook followers could donate $4.95 right now and hit the goal
100,312 subreddit members could donate $13.30 right now and hit the goal
Have dinner with Andrew!!! If you have never met Andrew Yang or his campaign staff and are in the San Francisco area, attending the Jan 16th San Francisco Fundraiser could be a lot of fun! ACT: Find your local Yang Gang and get involved IRL! This is the most important thing you can do. I'm an introvert, so going out to meet with new people is my least favorite activity. But an important tool in life is recognizing you have full control of yourself. DECIDE to push past the fear for just one Yang and Hang and poof, now these are people you know who will be more than happy to be your sidekick as you do more daring things like canvassing or phone banking.
Yang Month - What was Yang Week is now Yang Month. Generous donors are making it possible to fund plane tickets and hotels for those who want to be in Iowa. If you have the time, please go. If not, please donate to help those who can go. Volunteers also receive fantastic training on how to canvas which will maximize those face to face conversations.
All Hands on Deck in Iowa - The campaign is inviting anyone who can to travel to Iowa and help with face to face canvassing for the full month of January
[PRIORITY!!!]Phone Banking - This is the new priority for those who can't be in Iowa and many text bankers are being redirected this way
Text banking is in full force and can always use more volunteers. The resources provided during text banking training are fantastic ways to prepare for IRL conversations with friends and family and eventually canvassing. For signing up to textbank, go here: http://text.helpyangwin.com and also reference the Textbanking Megathread to get started! If you want to see someone setting the bar for IRL face to face canvassing, follow Aarika Samone on twitter and now youtube. Her enthusiasm for everything Yang is motivating! Get outside of this subreddit and engage (but don't brigade). Every few days I go to politics and search for Yang and try to at least get some positive upvoting in. When I have more time I will engage in the comments as well.
Always remember Humanity First
Don't try to win over people who are aggressively mocking Andrew or even worse, crossing the line into racism. Don't feed the trolls. Downvote if you can (reddit) or just ignore (Twitter) and move on.
Look for people raising legitimate concerns like "how is he going to pay for that?" or "I don't think he can win" and engage from resources below. Don't downvote a comment just because you disagree with it.
Upvote positive, well thought out, and humanity first comments and reply with agreements
Most online comment sections display comments in order of level of engagement. Arguing with a troll will just push that conversation to the top of the list. In hostile forums like politics or Facebook's Fox News feed we don't want good healthy dialog drowned out by people who are intentionally trying to be negative.
Don't go full Yang Gang out of the gate otherwise it looks like we are brigading even when we aren't. Let the conversation naturally flow. Only send them to this sub or to yang2020.com if it is obvious that they are curious or if it natural to say "you can find a better explanation here..."
Remember, people LIKE to be right. They DON'T LIKE being wrong. Don't respond directly with "You're wrong, here are 7 links that prove it". Instead, engage them and let them make their argument further. The longer they feel involved in a positive conversation where they are making their point, the more likely they will be to listen to your counterpoint later when you get to say, "that's odd, I had read it was actually 'X' at this site...I wonder why the data doesn't match". The goal is to plant the seeds that allow them to get curious and convince themselves.
Quick resources:
yanglinks.com - good place to find videos and explanations of Yang's policies
ALL HANDS ON DECK TO PHONEBANK!!! What can I do to help???! T-14 Days until Iowa. We need everyone seeing this post to GET INVOLVED and help Andrew Yang WIN!
I got to spend last Friday with Andrew and his senior campaign staff looking in depth at strategy to get to the finish line and I am AMAZED at how well thought out and data driven the plan is. I can't spill any beans due to NDA, but I now know why it is so important that everyone PHONEBANK!!!! Things that weren't under the NDA: Bradly Cooper is YangGang. Joe Biden is YangGang. Yang's VP is 99% certain to be a woman. MATHPAC is kind of cool. Happy to answer general questions below, but don't be surprised if most answers defer to being under NDA. TLDR; Tons of links to help you find ways to help. If 13.9% of of this subs subscribers spent 30 minutes on the dialer today the 800K dials goal would be met. Please add additional ideas and resources that I have missed in the comments. I will keep posting updated versions of this until Super Tuesday. I was in Iowa for Yang Week Month and it was AWESOME!! I can tell you at least in Poweshiek County, this election is completely UNDECIDED. Out of an entire week of talking to local voters I only ran into two who had firmly made up their mind. One for Klobuchar, and one for Yang!!!!. Multiple people told us the fact that we were there was impressive and reflected well on the campaign. Some folks even told us we were the first people ever, in any election, to come out to their farm. If you can make it to Iowa, even for a few days, please go. If not, we need everyone on the dialers. It is easy!!! You don't have to convince people to vote for Yang. We just need to identify Yang Gang and Yang Curious and the folks on the ground will do the rest. KEY DATES:
Feb 3rd - Iowa Caucuses - Current RCP IA Average 3.7% (+0.4) - PHONE BANK!! Make sure Iowa voters continue to hear Andrew Yang's name. When asked why he wasn't on the stage, point out that he is actually polling above Klobuchar and Steyer nationally and also has more donors, then confidently say he will be on the next one after a top 5 finish in Iowa.
Feb 3rd - California Vote-By-Mail Begins - Current RCP CA Average 4.3%
Feb 6th - Debate Qualification cutoff - At least 1 Iowa Delegate OR QTY 4 5% polls OR QTY 2 7% early state polls
Feb 7th - Debate #8 in Manchester, NH
Feb 11th - New Hampshire Primary - Current RCP NH Average 3.7% (+0.4)
Feb 19th - Debate #9 in Las Vegas, NV
Feb 22nd - Nevada Caucuses - Current RCP NV Average 3%
Feb 25th - Debate #10 in Charleston, SC
Feb 29th - South Carolina Dem Primary - Current RCP SC Average 2.7%
Mar 3rd - Super Tuesday - States (RCP Ave): AL, American Samoa, AR, CA (4.3%), CO (4% in Aug), Dems Abroad, ME (2.5% in Oct), MA (1% in Oct), MN, NC (3%), OK (0% in Jul), TN, TX (2.7% in Dec), UT, VT, VA (1% in Jun) - Current RCP National Average 3.8% (+0.2)
Jul 13 - 2020 Democratic National Convention begins in Milwaukee, WI
DONATE: Andrew needs at least 1 Iowa delegate out of the caucuses or 4 national or early state polls at 5% or two early state polls at 7% along with 225K+ donors. We are OK on the donor count, but only have 1 qualifying national poll. You can track status of Andrew and all other candidates here. One of the easiest ways to help the campaign spread its message is to donate. Even $1 helps pay for the creation of a dozen brochures. The bus tour, TV ads, all the offices we have seen open, and the campaign's growing operation cost money. Remember that merchandise counts toward the goal and towards your donation limits. I've already maxed out and have nearly a dozen shirts and have started to get the evil eye from my wife...and I still got her to donate another $25!!!! If you are able, please click here to donate. ACT: Find your local Yang Gang and get involved IRL! This is the most important thing you can do. I'm an introvert, so going out to meet with new people is my least favorite activity. But an important tool in life is recognizing you have full control of yourself. DECIDE to push past the fear for just one Yang and Hang and poof, now these are people you know who will be more than happy to be your sidekick as you do more daring things like canvassing or phone banking.
Yang Month - What was Yang Week is now Yang Month. Generous donors are making it possible to fund plane tickets and hotels for those who want to be in Iowa. If you have the time, please go. If not, please donate to help those who can go. Volunteers also receive fantastic training on how to canvas which will maximize those face to face conversations.
All Hands on Deck in Iowa - The campaign is inviting anyone who can to travel to Iowa and help with face to face canvassing for the full month of January
[PRIORITY!!!]Phone Banking - This is the new priority for those who can't be in Iowa and many text bankers are being redirected this way
Text banking is in full force and can always use more volunteers. The resources provided during text banking training are fantastic ways to prepare for IRL conversations with friends and family and eventually canvassing. For signing up to textbank, go here: http://text.helpyangwin.com and also reference the Textbanking Megathread to get started! If you want to see someone setting the bar for IRL face to face canvassing, follow Aarika Samone on twitter and now youtube. Her enthusiasm for everything Yang is motivating! Get outside of this subreddit and engage (but don't brigade). Every few days I go to politics and search for Yang and try to at least get some positive upvoting in. When I have more time I will engage in the comments as well.
Always remember Humanity First
Don't try to win over people who are aggressively mocking Andrew or even worse, crossing the line into racism. Don't feed the trolls. Downvote if you can (reddit) or just ignore (Twitter) and move on.
Look for people raising legitimate concerns like "how is he going to pay for that?" or "I don't think he can win" and engage from resources below. Don't downvote a comment just because you disagree with it.
Upvote positive, well thought out, and humanity first comments and reply with agreements
Most online comment sections display comments in order of level of engagement. Arguing with a troll will just push that conversation to the top of the list. In hostile forums like politics or Facebook's Fox News feed we don't want good healthy dialog drowned out by people who are intentionally trying to be negative.
Don't go full Yang Gang out of the gate otherwise it looks like we are brigading even when we aren't. Let the conversation naturally flow. Only send them to this sub or to yang2020.com if it is obvious that they are curious or if it natural to say "you can find a better explanation here..."
Remember, people LIKE to be right. They DON'T LIKE being wrong. Don't respond directly with "You're wrong, here are 7 links that prove it". Instead, engage them and let them make their argument further. The longer they feel involved in a positive conversation where they are making their point, the more likely they will be to listen to your counterpoint later when you get to say, "that's odd, I had read it was actually 'X' at this site...I wonder why the data doesn't match". The goal is to plant the seeds that allow them to get curious and convince themselves.
Quick resources:
yanglinks.com - good place to find videos and explanations of Yang's policies
canandrewyangwin.com - Anecdotal stories of past campaigns that reinforce the idea that Andrew definitely has a chance of winning the nomination
jobs.lever.co/yang2020 - Want to work for Andrew? 34 (+1) current open positions on the campaign including Deputy Press Secretary
10 days remaining to play the Samantha Bee "Totally Unrigged Primary" app! As of this posting, Yang is in first place with 9,737,916 (+207K) points followed by Warren at 9,404,361 (+164K). That ~333K lead was a good recovery, but Warren has 20,944 (+57) players to our 17,979 (+150) so we need to be diligent to hold the lead and preferably grow our team. Why should I waste my time earning worthless internet points? Because the 6th place contender is Undecided Democrat. Every single player not only sees us holding the lead, but also gets weekly emails highlighting our lead. Name recognition is key and this is 60 seconds of your day once you are caught up that you can knock out while waiting in line for lunch.
Dec. 10. 2020: Joe Biden (+375) is closing in on his own VEEP, Kamala Harris (+300), at the top of the 2024 Democratic nomination odds. Nov. 26, 2020: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez now has the third-best odds, improving from +1000 to +675 and moving in front of Andrew Yang (+800). March 02, 2020 10:12 AM ORDER REPRINT → The clear favorite to win the California Democratic primary is Sen. Bernie Sanders, at least according to bookies setting odds on the election. US Presidential Election 2020 - Democratic Candidate Joe Biden -1500 Hillary Clinton +1400 Bernie Sanders +1500 Michelle Obama +4000 Tulsi Gabbard +20000 . Odds on the Democrat Nominee for the 2020 Election according to Bovada Sportsbook. Updated on March 15, 2020. US Presidential Election 2020 - Democratic Candidate Joe Biden -1000 Betting Odds - Democratic Presidential Nomination. Dem Delegate Count, Map Dem Popular Vote Latest 2020 Polls. Betting Odds - Democratic Presidential Nomination Vegas Odds And Betting Lines For The 2020 Presidential Election. December 31 Update: Donald Trump has yet to concede to Joe Biden in the 2020 Presidential election amid claims of widespread fraud (though most Vegas political sportsbooks have paid out Biden bettors already).However, the biggest event right now is the Georgia Senate runoff on January 5, and all the top online election betting ... Online sportsbook Bovada has released the 2024 Democratic nominee odds with Biden sitting as the +250 favorite. He is followed by Harris at +300, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at +1000, Elizabeth Warren at +1200, Stacey Abrams at +1200, Andrew Cuomo at +1600, Andrew Yang at +1600, Bernie Sanders at +1600 and Pete Buttigieg at +1600 to round out the top 10 on the oddsboard. Here’s where Vegas odds put Democratic candidates ahead ... Bloomberg is in second place to win the nomination, ... Sign up here to get a daily rundown of 2020 election news from our newsrooms ... Betting site BetOnline gives Sanders odds of -350, with Biden at +200 and Bloomberg at +1,600. Those odds mean that a $100 bet would return $200 on Biden or $1,600 on Bloomberg. Democratic Election Betting Odds For 2020 Race. November 4 Update: With most of the vote counted, it looks like Joe Biden will win a closely contested election and flip the White House to the Democratic Party. However, with several states still certifying their ballots and slowly releasing their counts, you can still wager on those state outcomes.
Democratic vice presidential nominee Kamala Harris addressed Democrats on Aug. 19 during the third night of the Democratic National Convention. The coronavir... Support the stream: Coupon code thisis2020 at https://www.davidpakman.com/membership Who will win the US presidential election in 2020? Drew Martin and Teddy Covers look at the odds to win the 2020 United States Presidential Election and hand... CNN political forecaster Harry Enten takes a look at the different paths Democrats could take to reach 270 electoral votes needed to defeat President Donald ... NBC Politics Reporter Alex Seitz-Wald takes a look at the crowded field of democrats who we could possibly see on the ballot for president in 2020. » Subscri... A new poll shows that three out of four Democrats believe it's time for a fresh face to lead the party. FOX News Channel (FNC) is a 24-hour all-encompassing ... Twitter @TonyWestside088 In this video I'm taking you through a few of the odds that Bernie is getting heading into the Iowa Caucus on Monday. I know for a lot of people who are used to looking at ... 2020 Democratic Presidential Candidate Andrew Yang holds his Bet On Yang Rally at Las Vegas, Nevada on November 17th, 2019. Support the show on Patreon: http... The ninth Democratic presidential debate is tonight in Nevada, and it will feature a new billionaire on the stage. Mike Bloomberg hit the debate stage for the first time and the other Democratic candidates hit him hard along with one another and Donald Trump. Our panel re...
